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August 29, 2015

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Republicans maintain small lead in early voting, but no enthusiasm gap detected yet

In Clark County, 8.5 percent of Democrats have turned out while 9.7 percent of Republicans – so that 1.2 percent lead is a slight uptick from the .9 percent lead the GOP had after Monday. No sign of a surge there.

If you add the mail ballot totals, where Democrats lead in Clark by about 1,300, the totals are:

Dems: 10.6 percent

Rs: 12.0 percent

The lead after Monday was 1.2 percent turnout advantage. No huge change.

Add in Washoe early votes to total Clark numbers (no absentee count for Washoe) and totals are:

Dems: 10.0 percent

Rs: 11.1 percent

Still looks like normal midterm differential, with just under a third of the days completed.

First glance at CD3 – combined early/mail:

Ds: 11.0 percent

Rs: 12.3 percent

For numbers geeks:

Raw numbers in Clark:

Tuesday: Dems, 6,994; Rs, 5,543, rest, 2,456

Early: Dems, 28,672; Rs, 23, 580; rest, 7,084

Mail: Dems, 7,027; Rs, 5,770; rest, 1,898

Combined: Dems, 35,699, Rs, 29, 350; rest, 9,540

Raw numbers for Washoe:

Ds: 6,392 (7.4 percent)

Rs: 7,672 (8.8 percent)

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