Las Vegas Sun

March 28, 2024

Vegas Play of the Day: National Championship Game

Clemson-NC State

Gerry Broome / AP

Clemson’s Wayne Gallman, left, runs as North Carolina State’s Airius Moore, right, pursues Saturday, Oct. 31, 2015, during the first half of an NCAA college football game in Raleigh, N.C.

We've reset the Play of the Day with fresh bankrolls and turned it into a yearly competition. Our three sports writers have re-started with $10,000 bankrolls to continue using on odds from the South Point.

Wayne Gallman under 62.5 rushing yards: $550 to win $500

Even though I’ve already written too much on the game, my initial plan was to take Clemson in the Play of the Day. But luckily the line shift from 7 to 6.5 forced me to take a closer look at the props sheet.

Luckily because I found one I love. If the Tigers hang with or beat the Crimson Tide, it’s going to be because of Deshaun Watson. Not Wayne Gallman.

This total is several yards too high. Alabama stops the run at a historically dominant level. It’s only given up more than 62.5 yards to two running backs all season — Georgia’s Nick Chubb and Tennessee’s Jalen Hurd, both of whom only eclipsed the number by breaking one long run.

That’s a concern with Gallman but not enough of one to avoid this bet. Alabama’s defensive front will give its best effort tonight and should overpower any Clemson efforts to run between the tackles.

Gallman has gone over 62.5 rushing yards in seven straight games, but Oklahoma was the only decent run-stopping defense he faced through the whole run. The average rush defense rank of the other six teams was 85th in the nation, per Football Outsiders’ S&P ratings.

Alabama is No. 1 — and by a wide margin. This might be the best play on the board.

Current Standings (as of July 1): Brewer (30-27, $9,860), Bern (20-28, $6,435), Keefer (24-38-2, $4,561)

Lifetime standings: 2014-15 Bern (100-101-1), Keefer (107-121-4), Brewer (99-115-2),

Case Keefer can be reached at 702-948-2790 or [email protected]. Follow Case on Twitter at twitter.com/casekeefer.

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