Las Vegas Sun

Currently: 70° | Complete forecast |

Analysis:

Analysis: 15 things more likely to occur than Ronda Rousey losing at UFC 190

Betting market gives Bethe Correia next to no chance of dethroning UFC’s biggest star

UFC News Conference at Smith Center

Steve Marcus

Ronda Rousey, UFC women’s bantamweight champion, responds to a question during a UFC news conference Monday, Nov. 17, 2014, at the Smith Center for the Performing Arts.

Ronda Rousey could make history Saturday in the main event of UFC 190, and for once, not necessarily in a good way.

If Rousey (11-0 MMA, 5-0) loses to Bethe Correia (9-0 MMA, 3-0 UFC) on pay-per-view in Rio de Janeiro, it would undoubtedly go down as the biggest upset in the history of the UFC. Rousey will likely enter the octagon as the largest favorite ever, as her odds to win are currently as high as minus-2000 (risking $20 to win $1) in local sports books.

Correia comes back at as much as a plus-1200 (risking $1 to win $12) underdog, which means the Brazilian’s chances of winning are truly microscopic.

To show just how much the odds are stacked in Rousey’s favor, below are 15 things more or just as likely to happen as the superstar losing to Correia — some factually based on betting lines, but most of them not.

• The three fighters ranked above Rousey in the UFC pound-for-pound rankings — Jose Aldo, Chris Weidman and Demetrious Johnson — all lose their belts in their next fights. A parlay on their three opponents — Conor McGregor, Luke Rockhold and John Dodson, respectively — currently pays out 13-to-1, so it’s actually a touch more unlikely but any slight line movement could change the odds in Rousey’s favor.

• Sports Illustrated runs a retraction to its recent cover story anointing Rousey “the world’s most dominant athlete.” The new selection and cover model is a 700-pound sumo wrestler.

• Rousey reprises her role and stars in the second “Entourage” movie, with the plot centering on an engagement to Vince that permanently ruptures his lifelong friendship with Turtle.

• Donald Trump wins the Republican nomination for the 2016 presidential election. This is almost twice as likely with Trump currently the 8-to-1 fourth choice at most offshore sports books.

• The injuries keeping piling on Jose Aldo to prevent the bout with Conor McGregor, which the UFC hopes will be the biggest in promotional history, from ever taking place. McGregor already believes this will happen.

• Fedor Emelianenko not only signs with the UFC, but the former Pride legend becomes the promotion’s heavyweight champion before his 40th birthday in September 2016. Considering the depths several UFC champions have fought back from to win belts recently, this isn’t that far-fetched.

• Motivated by their former reality-show teammate’s confidence that he could beat Rousey, the Dallas Cowboys win their first Super Bowl in 20 years to conclude the upcoming football season. Dallas is listed at as low as 7-to-1 locally to emerge as champions.

• Reebok’s UFC fight kits outsell Nike’s NFL jerseys, as stores selling uniforms for the likes of UFC 190 fighters Patrick Cummins and Soa Palelei pop up in malls around the country.

• Media members worldwide realize the pointlessness of asking Rousey about an imaginary fight with Floyd Mayweather, and immediately cease the tiresome line of questioning. It’s worth noting that Rousey is far more likely to lose to Correia than Mayweather is to fall to rumored next opponent Andre Berto. The undefeated local boxer is installed as a 100-to-1 favorite in the complete mismatch.

• Miesha Tate surrenders the second UFC title shot against Rousey she recently earned with a four-fight winning streak when the champion finally obliges her request for a handshake. Tate moves away from Las Vegas and spends her days in Hollywood as Rousey’s personal baker.

• A nostalgia spell makes Rousey long for simpler days, so she reacquires the Honda Accord she recently sold for $21,300 on eBay and starts to live out of the vehicle once again.

• Rousey stops reacting warmly the next time a young fan sneaks up on her, switching her response to channel Earl Sweatshirt and clocking the intruder.

• UFC President Dana White decides to give Rousey the luxury Conor McGregor and Chad Mendes enjoyed at UFC 189 with a live performance for her entrance music. Only instead of Joan Jett singing “Bad Reputation,” Rousey reverts to her Strikeforce walk-in song. That means Scottish punk band The Exploited serenades HSBC Arena with “Sex & Violence.”

• Despite vowing to prolong Correia’s beating for maximum humiliation, Rousey breaks her own record for fastest finish in a UFC title fight and stops her opponent in less than 14 seconds.

• Rousey can’t curb her famed craving for hot wings and indulges in her usual post-fight king’s helping hours before weigh-in, causing her to miss the 135-pound limit. Instead of accepting a portion of Rousey’s purse as punishment, Correia rejects the catchweight fight.

Case Keefer can be reached at 702-948-2790 or [email protected]. Follow Case on Twitter at twitter.com/casekeefer.

Join the Discussion:

Check this out for a full explanation of our conversion to the LiveFyre commenting system and instructions on how to sign up for an account.

Full comments policy