Las Vegas Sun

April 24, 2024

Vegas Play of the Day: Stipe Miocic vs. Daniel Cormier at UFC 226

ufc195

John Locher / Associated Press

Stipe Miocic, top, fights Andrei Arlovski in a heavyweight mixed martial arts bout at UFC 195 on Saturday.

The fifth season of the annual Play of the Day betting competition between the Sun’s sports staff is now under way, effective July 1.

Bankrolls start at $10,000 for each of the four participants, with the objective to increase it as much as possible over the next year. The minimum daily wager is $300, with a $200 penalty assessed for failing to place a bet on an assigned day.

Past winners are Case Keefer in 2017-2018, Ray Brewer in 2016-2017 and 2015-2016, and Taylor Bern in 2014-2015.

Will Stipe Miocic vs. Daniel Cormier go the distance? No at minus-140: $420 to win $300

Both Daniel Cormier and Stipe Miocic are extremely durable. They’re also extremely powerful.

I expect to the latter to win out over the former at T-Mobile Arena, and to a larger degree than this line accounts. Odds for a heavyweight title fight to not go the distance are typically higher than this.

The reputations of Miocic and Cormier have forced too large of a drop. They’re each one of the best fighters the other have ever fought, and will both attempt to move forward early.

There’s a good chance of an early knockout, especially for Miocic. If that fails, a Cormier submission isn’t out of the question if he’s able to get Miocic to the ground.

Both fighters have been stopped before — though Cormier’s knockout loss to Jon Jones was later overturned to a no contest for the winner’s positive drug test — and they’re at further risk as their careers progress. Age matters in these discussions, and neither Miocic nor Cormier are young.

They’re 35-years-old and 39-years-old, respectively. That hasn’t affected them in the past, but fighters’ chins tend to fade with age — and it’s often sudden.

They both would have to absorb a lot of hits to prevent this bet from cashing.

Current Standings: Keefer (2-0, $10,990), Brewer (0-0, $10,000), Grimala (1-1, $9,800), Granger (0-0, $9,600)

Case Keefer can be reached at 702-948-2790 or [email protected]. Follow Case on Twitter at twitter.com/casekeefer.

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