Las Vegas Sun

October 22, 2019

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Vegas Play of the Day: Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys

Rodgers

Nam Y. Huh / AP

In this Jan. 23, 2011, file photo, Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (12) throws a pass during the first half of the NFC Championship NFL football game against Chicago Bears in Chicago. In their long rivalry, the Packers and the Bears have played 198 times. Only two meetings came in the playoffs. In Jan. 2011, they faced off for the NFC title and a trip to the Super Bowl. Rodgers and a staunch defense silenced Soldier Field, building a 14-0 lead and 21-7 lead and won their third successive road game in the postseason.

The sixth season of the annual Play of the Day betting competition between the Sun's sports staff is now under way, effective July 1.

Bankrolls start at $10,000 for each of the four participants, with the objective to increase it as much as possible over the next year. The minimum daily wager is $300, with a $200 penalty assessed for failing to place a bet on an assigned day.

Past winners are Case Keefer in 2018-19 and 2017-2018, Ray Brewer in 2016-2017 and 2015-2016, and Taylor Bern in 2014-2015.

Green Bay Packers plus-4 at Dallas Cowboys: $990 to win $900

I thought this number would go to Dallas minus-3 long before it reached Green Bay plus-4. Sometimes the market going against you is a reason to pause and reconsider your position.

I did that, and still came out with the same conclusion: The Packers are better than the Cowboys. The Packers might be better than every team in the NFC. There’s no reason for them to be getting more than a field goal in Arlington, Texas, today.

My best bet for why the line is moving in the opposite direction is a misevaluation of the injury situation. Yes, Green Bay is banged up on defense and will be playing without top receiver Davante Adams.

But those handicaps pale in comparison to Dallas’ problems, which are headlined by ailments up and down the offensive line. Cluster injuries on the offensive line are always more impactful than most realize, but this is especially true with the Cowboys after they built their team around the likes of Tyron Smith and Zack Martin.

The Packers also had three more days to prepare after last week’s Thursday Night Football loss to the Eagles. Chances to get value on Green Bay are fleeting with the popularity of Aaron Rodgers so don’t let this one pass by.

Current Standings: Grimala (7-3, $10,445), Emerson (5-9, $7,420), Brewer (6-8, $7,875), Keefer (8-9-1, $6,415)

Case Keefer can be reached at 702-948-2790 or [email protected]. Follow Case on Twitter at twitter.com/casekeefer.

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