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November 22, 2014

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Vegas Play of the Day: Dodgers at Diamondbacks

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David Goldman / AP

The necklace of Arizona Diamondbacks’ Martin Prado swings around his neck as he bats in the first inning of a baseball game against the Atlanta Braves, Saturday, June 29, 2013, in Atlanta.

Losing streaks are a part of sports betting, but that doesn’t make them any easier.

I’m tasked with preventing my second-longest since the Play of the Day, which features odds from the South Point and a starting bankroll of $10,000, began with Saturday’s baseball action.

Arizona Diamondbacks plus-110 vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: $250 to win $275

Most people would pick the Dodgers in this spot based on how they’ve already outscored the Diamondbacks by 10 runs in three games this season. Arizona hasn’t even come close to surpassing the Mendoza Line during the trio of disappointments.

The Diamondbacks have played unsustainably poor against the Dodgers. Their performance will eventually even out over a larger sample.

A lot of Arizona’s struggles have come from facing Clayton Kershaw and Hyun Jin-Ryu twice in three games. The top two pitchers in the Dodgers’ rotation have stymied the Diamondbacks.

That’s not to call today’s starter, Zack Greinke, a rag arm but it’s a lot closer to an even matchup with Arizona’s de facto ace Wade Miley, who’s pitched well in winning two straight. Dating back to when Greinke arrived in the National League three years ago, the Diamondbacks rank in the top three hitting against him.

Arizona’s offense hasn’t been the problem in a 4-9 start to the season as its shown great improvement. Take away the three Dodger losses and the Diamondbacks are averaging 4.5 runs per game with Paul Goldschmidt on his usual tear and Mark Trumbo leading the majors with five homeruns.

Arizona is at risk of jeopardizing the heated rivalry it’s cultivated with Los Angeles over the past three seasons with a few more no-shows. Don’t count on it

Standings: Bern (18-14, $10,060), Keefer (15-16, $9,027), Brewer (12-17-3, $6,680)

Case Keefer can be reached at 948-2790 or [email protected]. Follow Case on Twitter at twitter.com/casekeefer.

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