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October 17, 2017

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Vegas Play of the Day: Penn State at Northwestern

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AP Photo/Chris Knight

Penn State’s Saquon Barkley (26) runs in for a touchdown as Iowa’s Bo Bower (41) chases after him during the second half of an NCAA college football game in State College, Pa., Saturday, Nov. 5, 2016. Penn State won the game 41-14.

We’re entering the fourth season of the annual South Point-lined Play of the Day competition, effective July 1.

Starting bankrolls have reset to $10,000, with the maximum bet being to win $1,000 and the minimum wager $300. Ray Brewer won back-to-back titles in the 2015-2016 and 2016-17 seasons, after Taylor Bern prevailed in 2014-2015.

Penn State at Northwestern Total Over 51: $550 to win $500: It’s always a good idea to wager on a college football game over the points total when you suspect one of the teams can cover by themselves.

Penn State, one of the nation’s best teams, has posted 52, 56 and 42 points in three of its five games this season. It ranks 14th nationally in points scored, and is also near the top of the total passing and rushing rankings.

While the Northwestern defense surrenders just 25.8 per game, they won’t be able to contain Penn State running back Saquon Barkley. He’s a threat to score each time he touches the ball and will be part of the Heisman Trophy race.

The total is low because of Penn State’s defense, which yields 9.8 points per game to rank fourth nationally. That means Penn State is going to have to do much of the heavy lifting itself — something I suspect will happen. I predict a 53-13 final.

Current Standings: Granger (6-6, $11,595), Keefer (11-6-1, $11,381), Grimala (5-4, $10,145), Brewer (9-10, $8,280)

Ray Brewer can be reached at 702-990-2662 or [email protected]. Follow Ray on Twitter at twitter.com/raybrewer21

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