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December 16, 2018

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Gun control groups eclipse NRA in election spending

Bloomberg

Bridget Bennett / AP

Michael Bloomberg, a billionaire and former mayor of New York, while meeting with supporters of stricter gun control in Las Vegas, Sept. 16, 2018. Two groups that are focused on gun control, Giffords and Everytown for Gun Safety, spent at least $37 million at the state and federal level in the midterm elections, compared with at least $20 million by the National Rifle Association.

Amid a numbing succession of mass shootings, gun control groups outspent the National Rifle Association in the midterm election cycle, federal filings and additional reporting indicate, upending the usual order in the partisan battle over gun use.

Two groups that are focused on gun control, Giffords and Everytown for Gun Safety, spent at least $37 million at the state and federal level in the midterms, compared with at least $20 million by the NRA. The figures are incomplete, because some of the spending done by such groups is not required to be disclosed, but all sides agreed that the NRA was outspent, stemming a trend of financial dominance for the NRA going back years.

Despite being outspent in one election cycle, the NRA remains a potent force in American politics. Much of the organization’s impact comes in its ability to mobilize millions of members, and it continues to wield a prodigious fundraising and lobbying machine, and a hold on the Republican Party that will make any advancements of gun control a challenge.

But the NRA has also arguably gained its most formidable counterweight since its emergence as a modern political force in the late 1970s.

The development also comes as the NRA has been buffeted by challenges, among them the proliferation of mass shootings, including recent massacres at a Pittsburgh synagogue and a California bar. The group is also in the midst of a legal battle with New York Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo and state regulators over a controversial insurance plan it offers to gun owners. A report by the Center for Responsive Politics found that NRA membership dues plummeted last year, though the group has said subscribers increased at its magazines this year.

This month, the NRA started a Twitter feud by telling doctors to “stay in their lane" and attacking the research of groups like the American College of Physicians, which has called gun violence a “public health crisis.” A flood of responses followed, like one forensic pathologist who wrote, “This is my lane.”

One of the biggest factors in the financial turnabout in the gun debate has been the involvement of Michael R. Bloomberg, the former mayor of New York who recently became a Democrat and is mulling a 2020 presidential bid. In addition to providing about a third of Everytown’s budget, he is the sole funder of Independence USA, a political action committee that spent about $60 million in the cycle.

Bloomberg created Everytown four years ago as an umbrella organization for gun control causes, and his spending initially focused on ballot initiatives and state elections, according to tax documents. Now both Everytown and Giffords are challenging the NRA at the federal level as the NRA’s spending has declined compared with the last midterms, filings show.

And while Independence USA does not solely focus on gun control, it was a central issue in an advertisement featuring Bloomberg himself, as well as ads in support of Chrissy Houlahan, who won a congressional seat in a district outside Philadelphia, and for Jason Crow, who won a seat in the Denver area.

Both sides claimed victory after the election.

“Despite record spending by anti-gun billionaires like Michael Bloomberg, the gun control lobby once again failed to win elections,” said Jennifer Baker, an NRA spokeswoman.

John Feinblatt, Everytown’s president, countered with a different interpretation: “There’s no question in our mind 2018 will be remembered as the year of gun safety and will be a reset moment.”

Both the NRA and Everytown said about 80 percent of the candidates they endorsed won. Elections, of course, are won at the margins — outside of the 80 percent. And it was swing districts that helped tilt the House back to the Democrats, often aided by gun-control groups.

Giffords, a group co-founded by former congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords, who was wounded in a 2011 assassination attempt, concentrated its resources in a few races. The group focused on four incumbent House members who have received “A” ratings from the NRA — John Culberson, in the Houston area; Mike Coffman in Colorado; Barbara Comstock in Northern Virginia and Jason Lewis in Minnesota.

Giffords poured nearly $5 million combined into those contests, helping to make guns a front burner issue in the races. All four incumbents lost.

“We’re on the rise, and they’re on the decline,” said Peter Ambler, the executive director of the Giffords PAC.

Everytown, among other efforts, spent $5 million on an advertising campaign called “Not One More” in 16 districts that didn’t have Democratic incumbents. Their preferred candidates prevailed in 15 of those races. (In the 16th, Rep. Ann Wagner, R-Mo., held her seat.)

The NRA, however, was buoyed by Rep. Marsha Blackburn of Tennessee, a staunch gun rights advocate who held an open Senate seat for the Republican Party. Their favored candidate also prevailed in Missouri, where Josh Hawley, the state attorney general, defeated the longtime Democratic incumbent, Sen. Claire McCaskill. Oliver North, the NRA’s president, campaigned with Hawley in the race’s closing days.

“NRA efforts in pivotal U.S. Senate races were key to growing the pro-Second Amendment majority in the senate, which will ensure the confirmation of federal judicial appointees who respect the Second Amendment,” Baker, the NRA spokeswoman, said.

How much of an impact either side ultimately has on any particular race is hard to say. Guns ranked third in importance among voters in an NBC/Wall Street Journal poll over the summer and sixth in a Pew survey. Crow won a seat in Colorado’s 6th Congressional District, which includes the Aurora movie theater that was the site of a 2012 massacre, by making gun control a central issue. In other races, like Houlahan’s win in Pennsylvania’s 6th district, it was one of many factors.

But gun-control groups are becoming more aggressive. After the NRA removed archival records of its high-profile, oft-cited candidate grades from its website earlier this year, Everytown posted the data on its own website.

“Those grades used to be seen as a kingmaker at election time,” said Feinblatt, the Everytown president, who said they were now “a scarlet letter” for many swing voters.

NRA officials have scoffed at that, and said they merely reformatted their website.

“After the election they are no longer relevant,” Baker said.

In any case, both sides will have their champions in the new Congress.

Hours after a mass shooting took place at a bar in Thousand Oaks, California, Blackburn, who has an “A" rating from the NRA, said on Fox that it was important to “protect the Second Amendment” as well as citizens.

That was in contrast to Lucy McBath, a former Delta flight attendant who won a Georgia congressional seat. McBath became an activist for Everytown after her 17-year-old son was shot and killed in 2012.

“It is unfortunately not surprising that on the same day I officially became a Congresswoman-Elect, other families in this country are receiving the same exact call that I did six years ago,” she tweeted after Thousand Oaks. “I pledge to do everything I can to make our communities safer.”