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August 19, 2019

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Week 11 NFL picks for the Sun’s handicapping contest

Rams Donald

ASSOCIATED PRESS

Los Angeles Rams defensive tackle Aaron Donald stands on the field during an NFL football game against the Arizona Cardinals Sunday, Sept. 16, 2018, in Los Angeles.

Week 11: Chiefs at Rams

Which side would you take in Chiefs at Rams? (Poll consensus year to date: 8-2)
Chiefs plus-3.5 — 65%
Rams minus-3.5 — 35%

This poll is closed, see Full Results »

Note: This is not a scientific poll. The results reflect only the opinions of those who chose to participate.

ESPN had no idea of the gift of a game it landed for week 11 when the Monday Night Football schedule came out before the NFL season.

Then again, neither did anyone else. The Los Angeles Rams and Kansas City Chiefs have taken the NFL by storm heading into their matchup at 5:15 p.m. tomorrow night.

Bettors somewhat saw the Rams coming at least. Los Angeles went off the board before the season tied for the second lowest odds to win the Super Bowl, 10-to-1 at the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook, and with the second smallest win total at over/under 10 victories.

The Rams could hit 10 wins with a victory over the Chiefs, though covers have been more elusive for them recently. Los Angeles hasn’t beaten the point spread in its last three games, and will try to break the streak while laying 3.5 points to Kansas City.

The Chiefs have been the best team in the NFL to bet on at 8-2 against the spread. That speaks to the unforeseen nature of Patrick Mahomes mania.

Kansas City was 30-to-1 to win the Super Bowl coming into the season with an over/under of 8.5 wins, which it surpassed last week. The Chiefs are now plus-450 (risking $1 to win $4.50) to win the Super Bowl, trailing only the Rams — and Saints — at plus-275.

Kansas City at Los Angeles isn’t only the best Monday Night Football game of the year; on paper, it’s one of the best ever. That’s why it’s the game of the week in the Sun’s handicapping contest, meaning each of the three competing sports writers must use one of six weekly wagers off of the South Point betting board on the contest.

Read below for all of the week 11 picks.

Case Keefer (2012, 2014, 2015 champion, 2013 and 2017 co-champion)

Season:36-24

Last Week: 4-2

Lions plus-4.5 vs. Panthers

Falcons minus-3.5 vs. Cowboys

Bears minus-2.5 vs. Vikings

Buccaneers plus-2.5 at Giants

Broncos plus-7 at Chargers

Chiefs vs. Rams over 63.5 points

Ray Brewer (2016 champion, 2013 co-champion)

Season: 34-25-1

Last Week: 6-0

Vikings plus-2.5 at Bears

Titans plus-1.5 at Colts

Giants minus-2.5 vs. Buccaneers

Chargers minus-7 vs. Broncos

Steelers vs. Jaguars over 46.5 points

Chiefs vs. Rams under 63.5 points

Mike Grimala

Season: 32-25-3

Last Week: 2-3-1

Falcons minus-3.5 vs. Cowboys

Vikings plus-2.5 at Bears

Colts minus-1.5 vs. Titans

Chargers minus-7 vs. Broncos

Cardinals minus-5.5 vs. Raiders

Chiefs plus-3.5 at Rams

Case Keefer can be reached at 702-948-2790 or [email protected]. Follow Case on Twitter at twitter.com/casekeefer.

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